ups at my shop-- virginia, colorado, new hampshire. we called all the other states, and we think the president's likely to win with 277 to 303 electoral votes. but virginia is very, very close. and i think it's a lot closer than either side expected. and just to address what stu and anthony were saying, i have a lot of good contacts there, obviously. i've lived there all my life. and they really do believe what they're saying, and the republicans swear to me and they've shared their numberes, romney is up a point or two in their tracking polls. the democrats are done the same thing. president obama is up a point or two in their polls. now, i don't think virginia's representative of the country. i do think the president has an edge in ohio. i expect him to win ohio. i expect him to win wisconsin, i think he's going to win iowa, and frankly, given democratic base in the other states, that's all she wrote. >> schieffer: let me go to you, lesley. i want to talk a little bit about pennsylvania. a lot of us were putting that pretty much in t